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A new NBER working paper from researchers at the Federal Reserve, Northwestern's Kellogg School and Johns Hopkins finds that Kalshi -- the largest federally regulated prediction market in the U.S., overseen by the CFTC -- produces macroeconomic forecasts that match or beat those of professional forecasters and traditional financial instruments like fed funds futures.
The study compared Kalshi-implied forecasts for the federal funds rate, CPI inflation and unemployment against the New York Fed's Survey of.
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Palestinian journalist Plestia Alaqad on bearing witness, the fragile power of social media, and why documenting lived reality matters more than ever. Read more ›
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An East Bay apartment complex has been bought at a price that's well below its prior value. Read more ›
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A PG&E Corp. unit has bought a San Jose building in a move to bolster the utility's South Bay operations. Read more ›
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The National Tax Service said it had intended to provide a vivid shot of the seizure by sharing a photo. Read more ›
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NVIDIA's $5.5 billion China chip sale exploited the predictable gap between Washington's policy announcements and enforcement. The timing reveals how corporations don't resist regulation — they learn its rhythm and move faster. Read more ›
0 newcommer
I've been working out with my elderly mom for over 30 years, and watching her approach to exercise has changed how I view fitness and aging. Read more ›
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Agentic finance firm becomes 19th largest public Bitcoin holder as BRR rises 2%. Read more ›
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The PlayStation Pulse Explore earbuds are brilliant for PS5 and PlayStation Portal, and at this discounted rate we're highlighting today, superb value for money. Read more ›
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Pokémon has always excelled at the strange spin-off. This isn't to say they're always good (looking at you PokéPark games), but they're always guaranteed to make you think, 'What? Really?' From watching TV with Pikachu, a Nobunaga's Ambition crossover, and Pokémon Project Studio (which I'm sure we all hold dear to our hearts), I do feel like I should be immune to Pokémon spin-off bizarreness by now. And yet, the... Read more ›
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It's finally happening: Windows 11 appears to be shoving Windows 10 firmly aside. Read more ›
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Pokémon Pokopia has broadly remained a mystery since its first announcement, with little given away about its gameplay mechanics and storyline; I’ve spent two weeks playing, and it’s a surprise worth waiting for. Read more ›
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Now that Netflix has backed out of trying to get Warner Bros., Sarandos looks back on his failed deal and what's next. Read more ›
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Nintendo has a history of fleshing out the larger Pokémon world through spinoffs. What games from the Pokémon Snap and Detective Pikachu series lacked in terms of action, they made up for in the way they made pokémon feel like creatures with rich lives outside of their relationships with trainers. And as the mainline series […] Read more ›
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A Corefy study finds 58.5% of firms still use disconnected payment systems, with operational maturity lagging rising payment complexity despite less manual handling. Read more ›
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cargo.one, a Berlin-based AI technology provider for logistics, today announced the acquisition of Lisbon’s ocean rate platform Cargofive – complemented by a near €17 million ($20 million) investment round. The round saw participation from investors including Bessemer Venture Partners. Today also sees the launch of an AI-native OS for multimodal freight. The platform unifies air ... Read more ›
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Есть старая шутка (говорят, что с 1874г.): «Половина моего рекламного бюджета тратится впустую. Проблема в том, что я не знаю, какая именно половина».Performance-маркетинг — это когда вы точно знаете, какая половина работает. И перестаёте тратить на вторую.В этой статье попробую объяснить всё максимально просто и понятно. Читать далее Read more ›
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Internally at Apple, the rumored low-end MacBook is being described as "incredible value," so much so that the company believes its imminent launch is going to drive a serious number of switchers from Windows machines and Chromebooks, reports Bloomberg's Mark Gurman. Writing in his Power On newsletter over the weekend, Gurman says that Apple believes the device "could even compel iPhone users without computers to buy their first Mac." We... Read more ›
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Helsinki-based Tangled has raised $4.5 million to position itself as a European, open-source alternative to GitHub. The funding round was led by byFounders, the community-powered VC firm, with participation from Bain Capital Crypto and existing investor Antler. Notable angel investors also joined the round, including Thomas Dohmke, the former CEO of GitHub, Avery Pennarun, CEO […] Read more ›
0 fresh
Modern cars have swapped regular keys for key fobs, and most of them use a CR2032 button cell battery. How can you tell if it's weak? How long do they last? Read more ›
0 fresh
The first fiber-optic cable ever laid across an ocean -- TAT-8, a nearly 6,000-kilometer line between the United States, United Kingdom, and France that carried its first traffic on December 14, 1988 -- is now being pulled off the Atlantic seabed after more than two decades of sitting dormant, bound for recycling in South Africa. Subsea Environmental Services, one of only three companies in the world whose entire business is... Read more ›
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IBM shares plunged nearly 13% on Monday after Anthropic published a blog post arguing that its Claude Code tool could automate much of the complex analysis work involved in modernizing COBOL, the decades-old programming language that still underpins an estimated 95% of ATM transactions in the United States and runs on the kind of mainframe systems IBM has sold for generations. Anthropic said the shrinking pool of developers who understand... Read more ›
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The narrative that AI spending has been singlehandedly propping up the U.S. economy -- a claim that captivated Silicon Valley, Wall Street and Washington over the past year -- is facing serious pushback from economists [non-paywalled source] at Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase, all of whom now calculate that the AI buildup's direct contribution to growth was dramatically overstated and possibly close to zero. The debate hinges on... Read more ›
22
Climate scientists trying to predict how much hotter the planet will get have long grappled with a surprisingly stubborn problem -- clouds, which both reflect sunlight and trap heat, account for more than half the variation between climate predictions and are the main reason warming projections for the next 50 years range from 2 to 6 degrees Celsius. Two research groups are now racing to close that gap using AI,... Read more ›
18
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Reuters: Researchers at ASML Holding say they have found a way to boost the power of the light source in a key chip making machine to turn out up to 50% more chips by decade's end, to help retain the Dutch company's edge over emerging U.S. and Chinese rivals. ASML is the world's only maker of commercial extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV) machines, a... Read more ›
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Panasonic is handing over the manufacturing, marketing, and sales of its TVs to Shenzhen-based Skyworth, effectively exiting in-house TV production. Ars Technica reports: Skyworth is a Shenzhen-headquartered TV brand. The company claims to be "a top three global provider of the Android TV platform." In July, research firm Omdia reported that Skyworth was one of the top-five TV brands by sales revenue in Q1 2025; however, Skyworth hasn't been able... Read more ›
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A 7,000-word "doomsday" thought experiment from Citrini Research helped trigger an 800-point drop in the Dow, "painting a dark portrait of a future in which technological change inspires a race to the bottom in white-collar knowledge work," reports the Wall Street Journal. From the report: Concerns of hyperscalers overspending are out. Worries of software-industry disruption don't go far enough. The "global intelligence crisis" is about to hit. The new, broader... Read more ›
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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is pushing back on growing concerns about AI's environmental footprint, dismissing claims about ChatGPT's water consumption as "totally fake" and arguing that the fairer way to measure AI's energy use is to compare it against humans. In an interview with Indian Express, Altman acknowledged that evaporative cooling in data centers once made water usage a real concern but said that is no longer the case, calling... Read more ›
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A study published last week in PNAS found that people who regularly cause problems or make life difficult -- whom the researchers call "hasslers" -- are associated with measurably faster biological aging in those around them, at a rate of roughly 1.5% per additional hassler and about nine months of additional biological age relative to same-age peers. The research drew on DNA methylation-based epigenetic clocks and ego-centric network data from... Read more ›
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An anonymous reader shares a report: PayPal, the digital payments pioneer, is attracting takeover interest from potential buyers after a stock slide wiped out almost half of its value, according to people familiar with the matter. The San Jose, California-based company has fielded meetings with banks amid unsolicited interest from suitors, the people said. At least one large rival is looking at the whole company, while some other suitors are... Read more ›
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02.03.2026 08:13
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