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39 Polymarket Bets on OpenAI, Google Raise Insider Trading Suspicions

The Information
Rocket Drew @ The Information 1 place · today 09:00 EDT

Polymarket Bets on OpenAI, Google Raise Insider Trading Suspicions

Over the past week, a handful of accounts on Polymarket, the predictions site, bet OpenAI would release a new large language model by December 13. On Thursday December 11, OpenAI released GPT-5.2, and four of these accounts together made over $13,000, according to the trades displayed on their accounts.

The payout is adding fuel to suspicions that a handful of accounts on prediction sites such as Polymarket and Kalshi aren’t just lucky—they’ve got access to private information about tech companies includin

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